Texas Isn't a Swing State. Unless Republicans Stay Home.

Nine polls put the Senate race within a few points, and early voting is far ahead of 2022. The Lone Star State will be decided by who shows up before Oct. 30.

By Clara Hughes

For decades, Texas has been the anchor of conservative America. This year, Democrats think they can pry it loose. Look at the polls and you can see why they believe it. In 270toWin's average of nine recent surveys, Democrat James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton 49.3% to 47.3% in the race for U.S. Senate. That isn't a lead anyone should panic over. But it isn't a lead anyone should ignore, either. A race on a knife's edge Look closer and the race is a coin flip: Fox News (Oct. 21, 1,398 likely voters): 49–49 Emerson