Senate map tightens as top forecaster moves 3 races toward Democrats
A leading nonpartisan political handicapper shifted three Senate races toward the Democrats on Thursday and predicted that with just under five months to go until the midterm elections, the Democrats...
By Fox News · Fox News
A leading nonpartisan political handicapper shifted three Senate races toward the Democrats on Thursday and predicted that with just under five months to go until the midterm elections, the Democrats have a "clearer path to winning the Senate majority." But Sabato's Crystal Ball at the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia adds that despite the shifts, "we still favor Republicans in the overall race for the Senate." Republicans currently control the Senate 53-47 but are battling stiff political headwinds, as the party in power in the nation's capital traditionally loses seats in the midterms. The GOP also faces a rough political climate fueled by economic concerns amid persistent inflation, as well as rising gas prices tied to what polls show is an unpopular war with Iran and President Donald Trump's underwater approval ratings. THESE MIDTERM RACES WILL DETERMINE WHETHER REPUBLICANS HOLD THEIR SENATE MAJORITY Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the race in battleground North Carolina from toss-up to lean Democrat. Former two-term Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper is facing off against former Republican National Committee Chair Mike Whatley in the race to succeed retiring GOP Sen. Thom Tillis. It moved the Senate showdown in Alaska , where GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan is expected to face off against former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola, from lean Republican to toss-up. And in Ohio , where appointed GOP Sen. Jon Husted is being challenged by former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown, it shifted the rating from lean Republican to toss up. DEMOCRACY ’26: STAY UP TO DATE WITH THE FOX NEWS ELECTION HUB The movement toward the Democrats in the Ohio race comes a week after a Fox News poll indicated Brown currently up by eight points, 53%-45%, over Husted. Democrats need a net gain pickup of four seats in the midterms to win back control of the Senate they lost in the 2024 elections. Pointing to the four races it now considers toss-ups, Sabato's Crystal Ball said "there are now enough To…