Republicans bet higher tax refunds will boost midterm chances as blue states resist relief

By Fox News · Fox News

Republicans are betting tax cuts they championed will be a difference-maker in November’s midterm elections amid a rise in refunds this filing season. But Republicans still face a key challenge — convincing voters to credit them for the tax relief when they head to the ballot box. "You can talk about it, but you’ve got to feel it and that's what's going to happen," House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, R-Minn., told Fox News Digital in an interview on Wednesday, referring to the slate of new tax breaks signed into law by President Donald Trump in 2025. "We believe by the time of the midterms, people are not only going to be talking about it, they are going to feel it," Emmer insisted. STRATEGY SESSION: TRUMP'S TEAM HUDDLES ON MIDTERM MESSAGING WITH SPOTLIGHT ON ECONOMY As they look to defend their slim House majority, the GOP is ramping up its messaging to promote the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, also known as the Working Families Tax Cuts. Republicans spent Tax Day on Wednesday touting larger refunds this year while highlighting Democratic lawmakers’ opposition to the tax bill that passed with solely GOP votes. The average refund this year is over $3,400 , amounting to an 11% increase compared to last tax season, according to data released by the Internal Revenue Service on Wednesday. Republicans have pointed to those returns as early proof their tax policy is reaching voters’ wallets. A vast swath of Americans is also benefiting from new tax cuts that Trump first floated on the 2024 campaign trail. More than 53 million tax filers claimed new deductions for tips, overtime pay, automobile loans or being over the age of 65, according to the Treasury Department. Some are also receiving a larger child tax credit and relief for state and local taxes. "When you're seeing it in your tax return, when you're seeing it in your paycheck, when you're actually able to feel that, I think that's going to make a difference to put us in a good spot for 2026," Rep. Riley Moore, R-W.Va ., s…