How ‘Irrelevant’ Prediction Market Detail Led to Death Threats
A Polymarket contract on whether Iran would strike Israel on March 10 was designed to forecast the future. Instead, more than 90% of the betting volume on the prediction market...
By Marissa Newman, Andre Tartar · Bloomberg Markets
A Polymarket contract on whether Iran would strike Israel on March 10 was designed to forecast the future. Instead, more than 90% of the betting volume on the prediction market came after the fact, as users attempted to profit from a dispute that hinged on the source of a single blast.